The 30 places where economic downturn could hit the hardest

To identify the places a COVID-19 recession will likely hit hardest, 24/7 Wall St. created an index comprising three measures: employment in highly-exposed industries, COVID-19 infection rates, and population density.

30. New York County, New York
Workforce in high-risk industries: 16.1%
COVID-19 cases per 10,000: 51.1 (as of March 31, 2020)
Jan. 2020 unemployment rate: 3.2%
Total population: 1.6 million
Metropolitan area: New York-Newark-Jersey City

29. Wilson County, Tennessee
Workforce in high-risk industries: 31.6%
COVID-19 cases per 10,000: 2.4 (as of March 31, 2020)
Jan. 2020 unemployment rate: 2.9%
Total population: 132,663
Metropolitan area: Nashville-Davidson–Murfreesboro–Franklin

28. Horry County, South Carolina
Workforce in high-risk industries: 31.8%
COVID-19 cases per 10,000: 1.2 (as of March 31, 2020)
Jan. 2020 unemployment rate: 4.4%
Total population: 320,915
Metropolitan area: Myrtle Beach-Conway-North Myrtle Beach

27. Storey County, Nevada
Workforce in high-risk industries: 32.1%
COVID-19 cases per 10,000: N/A (as of March 31, 2020)
Jan. 2020 unemployment rate: 3.8%
Total population: 3,941
Metropolitan area: Reno

26. Harrison County, Mississippi
Workforce in high-risk industries: 32%
COVID-19 cases per 10,000: 2.2 (as of March 31, 2020)
Jan. 2020 unemployment rate: 5%
Total population: 202,626
Metropolitan area: Gulfport-Biloxi

25. Plaquemines Parish, Louisiana
Workforce in high-risk industries: 30.7%
COVID-19 cases per 10,000: 15.8 (as of March 31, 2020)
Jan. 2020 unemployment rate: 5.1%
Total population: 23,373
Metropolitan area: New Orleans-Metairie

24. Orange County, Florida
Workforce in high-risk industries: 32.2%
COVID-19 cases per 10,000: 2.8 (as of March 31, 2020)
Jan. 2020 unemployment rate: 2.9%
Total population: 1.3 million
Metropolitan area: Orlando-Kissimmee-Sanford

23. Ector County, Texas
Workforce in high-risk industries: 33.1%
COVID-19 cases per 10,000: 0.4 (as of March 31, 2020)
Jan. 2020 unemployment rate: 3.4%
Total population: 158,342
Metropolitan area: Odessa

22. Boone County, Indiana
Workforce in high-risk industries: 33%
COVID-19 cases per 10,000: 3.4 (as of March 31, 2020)
Jan. 2020 unemployment rate: 2.7%
Total population: 64,321
Metropolitan area: Indianapolis-Carmel-Anderson

21. Atlantic County, New Jersey
Workforce in high-risk industries: 33.3%
COVID-19 cases per 10,000: 1.2 (as of March 31, 2020)
Jan. 2020 unemployment rate: 6.8%
Total population: 268,539
Metropolitan area: Atlantic City-Hammonton

20. Boise County, Idaho
Workforce in high-risk industries: 34.3%
COVID-19 cases per 10,000: N/A (as of March 31, 2020)
Jan. 2020 unemployment rate: 5.1%
Total population: 7,163
Metropolitan area: Boise City

19. Lafourche Parish, Louisiana
Workforce in high-risk industries: 33.5%
COVID-19 cases per 10,000: 7.5 (as of March 31, 2020)
Jan. 2020 unemployment rate: 5.3%
Total population: 98,214
Metropolitan area: Houma-Thibodaux

18. Dinwiddie County, Virginia
Workforce in high-risk industries: 34.4%
COVID-19 cases per 10,000: N/A (as of March 31, 2020)
Jan. 2020 unemployment rate: 3.5%
Total population: 28,308
Metropolitan area: Richmond

17. Boone County, Kentucky
Workforce in high-risk industries: 34.5%
COVID-19 cases per 10,000: 0.4 (as of March 31, 2020)
Jan. 2020 unemployment rate: 3.8%
Total population: 129,095
Metropolitan area: Cincinnati

16. Orleans Parish, Louisiana
Workforce in high-risk industries: 30.8%
COVID-19 cases per 10,000: 47.1 (as of March 31, 2020)
Jan. 2020 unemployment rate: 5.5%
Total population: 389,648
Metropolitan area: New Orleans-Metairie

15. Clark County, Nevada
Workforce in high-risk industries: 35.4%
COVID-19 cases per 10,000: 4.1 (as of March 31, 2020)
Jan. 2020 unemployment rate: 3.9%
Total population: 2.1 million
Metropolitan area: Las Vegas-Henderson-Paradise

14. Hendricks County, Indiana
Workforce in high-risk industries: 35.8%
COVID-19 cases per 10,000: 4.3 (as of March 31, 2020)
Jan. 2020 unemployment rate: 2.8%
Total population: 160,940
Metropolitan area: Indianapolis-Carmel-Anderson

13. Clear Creek County, Colorado
Workforce in high-risk industries: 37.4%
COVID-19 cases per 10,000: 4.3 (as of March 31, 2020)
Jan. 2020 unemployment rate: 2.3%
Total population: 9,379
Metropolitan area: Denver-Aurora-Lakewood

12. Williamsburg, Virginia
Workforce in high-risk industries: 37.4%
COVID-19 cases per 10,000: 5.4 (as of March 31, 2020)
Jan. 2020 unemployment rate: 4.2%
Total population: 14,788
Metropolitan area: Virginia Beach-Norfolk-Newport News

11. Worcester County, Maryland
Workforce in high-risk industries: 38.2%
COVID-19 cases per 10,000: 0.6 (as of March 31, 2020)
Jan. 2020 unemployment rate: 10.9%
Total population: 51,564
Metropolitan area: Salisbury

10. DeSoto County, Mississippi
Workforce in high-risk industries: 38.5%
COVID-19 cases per 10,000: 4.8 (as of March 31, 2020)
Jan. 2020 unemployment rate: 4.3%
Total population: 176,132
Metropolitan area: Memphis

9. Bullitt County, Kentucky
Workforce in high-risk industries: 40.5%
COVID-19 cases per 10,000: 0.8 (as of March 31, 2020)
Jan. 2020 unemployment rate: 4.3%
Total population: 79,466
Metropolitan area: Louisville/Jefferson County

8. Maui County, Hawaii
Workforce in high-risk industries: 40.8%
COVID-19 cases per 10,000: 1.5 (as of March 31, 2020)
Jan. 2020 unemployment rate: 2.8%
Total population: 165,281
Metropolitan area: Kahului-Wailuku-Lahaina

7. Midland County, Texas
Workforce in high-risk industries: 43%
COVID-19 cases per 10,000: 0.8 (as of March 31, 2020)
Jan. 2020 unemployment rate: 2.4%
Total population: 164,194
Metropolitan area: Midland

6. Ohio County, Indiana
Workforce in high-risk industries: 44%
COVID-19 cases per 10,000: 1.7 (as of March 31, 2020)
Jan. 2020 unemployment rate: 4.1%
Total population: 5,887
Metropolitan area: Cincinnati

5. Irion County, Texas
Workforce in high-risk industries: 47.5%
COVID-19 cases per 10,000:. (as of March 31, 2020)
Jan. 2020 unemployment rate: 2.5%
Total population: 1,524
Metropolitan area: San Angelo

4. Clayton County, Georgia
Workforce in high-risk industries: 50.6%
COVID-19 cases per 10,000: 4 (as of March 31, 2020)
Jan. 2020 unemployment rate: 4.2%
Total population: 278,666
Metropolitan area: Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Alpharetta

3. Tunica County, Mississippi
Workforce in high-risk industries: 61.6%
COVID-19 cases per 10,000: 11.8 (as of March 31, 2020)
Jan. 2020 unemployment rate: 6.7%
Total population: 10,170
Metropolitan area: Memphis

2. Twiggs County, Georgia
Workforce in high-risk industries: 63.8%
COVID-19 cases per 10,000: 2.4 (as of March 31, 2020)
Jan. 2020 unemployment rate: 6%
Total population: 8,284
Metropolitan area: Macon-Bibb County

1. Gilpin County, Colorado
Workforce in high-risk industries: 82.2%
COVID-19 cases per 10,000: N/A (as of March 31, 2020)
Jan. 2020 unemployment rate: 2.3%
Total population: 5,924
Metropolitan area: Denver-Aurora-Lakewood

Source: https://www.usatoday.com/picture-gallery/money/2020/04/09/covid-19-recession-likely-hit-these-places-hardest/2966471001/

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